Why Shares of Kosmos Energy Have Soared 54% So Far in 2019

This post was originally published on this site

What happened

Shares of oil and gas exploration company Kosmos Energy (NYSE: KOS) rose 54% in the first half of 2019, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. But that impressive-seeming number is thanks to a bit of good timing: Kosmos’ shares bottomed out around the first of the year. If we look at the nine months ending June 30, 2019, shares are down 32.9%.

So what

Deepwater specialist Kosmos has had a string of exploration misses lately. In December 2017 it failed to discover commercial hydrocarbons in offshore Mauritania. In February 2018 it announced that it had also come up empty-handed in nearby Senegal, and as a result was sending its drillship to Suriname in South America, near where ExxonMobil has had some offshore success.

An offshore oil rig in silhouette at sunset

Shares of offshore driller Kosmos Energy have outperformed so far this year. Image source: Getty Images.

But in October, Kosmos reported that it had once again struck out, and that its Pontoenoe-1 exploration well in Suriname had found “high-quality reservoir” but no commercially viable hydrocarbons. That came on the heels of the company’s acquisition of Deep Gulf Energy in September; it was mostly debt financed, but Kosmos also handed over $300 million in shares. And that coincided neatly with a major slide in oil prices, which sent investors running for the exits.

However, oil prices have since recovered. For its part, Kosmos managed to impress investors when it reported Q4 earnings in late February. It announced that it had used the $250 million it generated in free cash flow to repurchase some of those shares issued during the transaction. It announced it was paying a dividend. And it announced it would be selling off some assets that would help it reduce capital expenses while still growing production. Best of all, Kosmos said it could generate enough free cash flow at $35 a barrel to fund this shareholder-friendly strategy. Considering Brent crude is now trading at about $65 a barrel, that cheered the market, which began bidding up shares again.

Now what

Oil exploration — particularly deepwater exploration, in which Kosmos specializes — is a risky business. Oil prices have fallen significantly over the last five years, and Kosmos’ shares have largely followed suit:

KOS Chart

KOS data by YCharts

If you’re interested in buying into a speculative oil and gas exploration and production company, Kosmos isn’t necessarily a bad pick, but you should be aware of the risks. Most investors will likely want to steer clear.

10 stocks we like better than Kosmos Energy
When investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade, Motley Fool Stock Advisor, has quadrupled the market.*

David and Tom just revealed what they believe are the ten best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Kosmos Energy wasn’t one of them! That’s right — they think these 10 stocks are even better buys.

See the 10 stocks

*Stock Advisor returns as of June 1, 2019

John Bromels has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here